Chapter 13 of Class 12 Maths focuses on Probability, one of the most important and application-based chapters in the syllabus. This chapter builds on what students have already learnt in Class 11 and dives deeper into advanced concepts like conditional probability, independent events, Bayes’ theorem, and random variables. It not only helps in developing logical thinking but also sharpens analytical skills that are useful in solving real-world problems.
I decided to write on this topic because students often feel confused when it comes to applying probability concepts in word problems, especially in case-based or data-based questions. Also, this chapter plays a key role in many competitive exams like JEE, CUET, and NDA. A strong hold on probability is not just useful for scoring in boards but also builds a base for future studies in subjects like statistics, data science, economics, and computer science. I’ve noticed many students either skip or underprepare this chapter due to fear, but if done properly, it becomes one of the easiest to score full marks. That’s why it’s important to study this chapter with clarity, and the NCERT book is the best place to begin.
What You’ll Learn in Chapter 13: Probability
The chapter starts with a quick recap of basic terms like events, sample space, and outcomes, and then moves into more complex topics which are:
Key Concepts Covered:
- Conditional Probability: Probability of one event happening given that another has already occurred
- Multiplication Theorem on Probability
- Independent and Dependent Events
- Total Probability Theorem
- Bayes’ Theorem: Used to revise previously calculated probabilities when new information is given
- Random Variables and Probability Distributions
- Mean and Variance of a Random Variable
All these topics are presented in a logical flow. Every concept is followed by solved examples and exercises for practice.
How to Study Probability Effectively
From my own experience and from talking to students and teachers, here are some tips to prepare this chapter well:
- Start with Definitions: Make sure you are clear with terms like sample space, event, mutually exclusive, etc.
- Use Diagrams: Venn diagrams are very helpful in solving complex conditional problems
- Understand Bayes’ Theorem: This is one area where many students lose marks. Understand it with real-world examples
- Solve NCERT Examples First: They are well-structured and gradually increase in difficulty
- Create Formula Notes: Maintain a notebook with all key formulas and shortcut tricks
- Practice Mixed Problems: Try different types of questions so you’re not stuck when patterns change in exams
Download PDF of NCERT Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 – Probability
To get your hands on the full chapter in PDF format for free